Reference
Free to readEvent Vol Isolation FAQ & Glossary
Quick answers on diffusive vs event vol, variance additivity, and the baseline — each with a picture — plus the vocabulary, defined.
Frequently asked
What is event volatility isolation?
A deconstruction of VolDex® implied vol into two parts: the diffusive (background) volatility of normal trading, and the event-driven (jump) volatility of known scheduled catalysts inside the window — FOMC, CPI, PCE, NFP, earnings. It tells you how much of a reading is the regime and how much is the calendar.
What's the difference between diffusive and event vol?
Diffusive vol is the steady, continuous noise of normal trading — it mean-reverts and trends with the regime. Event vol is the expected one-day jump around a scheduled catalyst — it collapses the instant the number prints. One is durable; the other is temporary.
What is variance additivity?
Volatilities don't add, but variances do for independent contributions over time. Total variance over the window = diffusive variance + the sum of each event's variance. That identity is what lets the tool subtract the events and recover the baseline.
What's the event-stripped baseline?
The diffusive volatility left over after the scheduled events are removed — what vol would be if nothing were on the calendar. It's the durable number to compare across days and against realized history; the events are what you trade around the date.
Which events does it know about?
Scheduled macro releases — FOMC, CPI, PCE, NFP and more — and single-stock earnings. Each gets an estimated variance contribution. Unscheduled shocks aren't on the calendar, so they show up in the diffusive baseline rather than as an event.
What does "spanned by tenor" mean?
Whether the event falls inside your option's life. An event only inflates implied vol if your 7- or 30-day tenor actually contains its date. The tool flags this, so you don't count a CPI that prints after your options expire — or miss one that's just inside.
Why does event vol crush after the print?
Because the uncertainty it was insuring resolves. Before the event, options carry extra premium for the gap risk; the moment the number is out, that risk is gone and the premium evaporates. The diffusive baseline stays; the event chunk vanishes.
Is a high reading always fear?
No. A high VolDex® can be almost entirely a scheduled event — a Fed meeting or earnings in the window — with a perfectly calm baseline. That's "expensive for one date," not elevated fear. The deconstruction is how you tell the two apart.
What are the limitations?
Event variances are modeled from history and implied moves, not observed directly; the additivity assumes independent contributions and only the scheduled events it knows about; and an unscheduled shock will land in the baseline. Read it as a grounded attribution, not an exact accounting.
Which underlyings are covered?
ETFs on the ETF Analytics tier; any optionable single stock on ETF + Equities. The full deconstruction history is available as a CSV export on the Everything tier.
How does it relate to the other Nations tools?
The input is VolDex®; the output — the event-stripped baseline — is the cleaner number to feed the Volatility Cones (rich vs realized history) and the Variance Risk Premium (rich vs the move that follows). Stripping the scheduled noise sharpens every downstream comparison.
Glossary
Deconstructing implied vol into the diffusive baseline and the scheduled-event contributions in the window.
The steady, continuous vol of normal trading — the durable, regime part.
The expected one-day jump around a scheduled catalyst, which crushes at the print.
Total variance = diffusive variance + sum of event variances over the window.
The estimated extra variance a specific catalyst contributes.
The diffusive vol left after removing the scheduled events.
The drop in implied vol when an event resolves and its premium evaporates.
Whether the chosen tenor contains the event's date — only then does it count.
A known catalyst on the calendar — FOMC, CPI, PCE, NFP, earnings.
Nations' clean at-the-money implied-vol reading — the total the deconstruction splits.
Free reference. The tool and its data come with a plan — ETFs (ETF Analytics), single names (ETF + Equities), full history (Everything).
See plans →Educational content from Nations Indexes. VolDex® is a registered mark of Nations Indexes. Diagrams are schematic. Click any diagram to enlarge it. Nothing here is investment advice.