Reference · Foundations
Free to readPosition Sizer FAQ & Glossary
Quick answers on vol targeting, inverse-vol sizing, regime filters, and rebalancing — each with a picture — plus the vocabulary, defined.
Frequently asked
What is vol-targeted position sizing?
A method that sizes each trade so its expected volatility contribution to the portfolio matches a chosen target — regardless of how volatile the underlying is. High-vol names get smaller notionals; low-vol names get larger ones. The result: every position contributes roughly the same expected risk, and the portfolio's total volatility is a deliberate choice rather than an accident of position size.
What is the inverse-vol formula?
The core math: notional = capital × (target_vol / realized_vol). If capital is $100,000 and your target is 1%, a name with 20% realized vol gets $5,000 (5% of capital); a name with 40% realized vol gets $2,500 (2.5%). Double the vol → half the notional → same expected risk. The regime multiplier then scales this result based on current conditions.
What is the regime filter and why does it matter?
The regime filter is Layer 1 of the three-layer framework. Before the inverse-vol formula runs, it asks: are conditions calm, elevated, or stressed? It pulls the underlying's realized-vol percentile over its trailing year and combines it with the live VolDex® 30-day and RiskDex® readings. A stressed regime — high realized-vol percentile, elevated risk premium — applies a multiplier below 1.0 that cuts the inverse-vol result, reducing gross exposure before the worst conditions can do maximum damage.
What is the realized-vol percentile?
Where today's 30-day realized vol sits in the distribution of all 30-day realized-vol readings over the past 252 trading days (the trailing year). A 92nd-percentile reading means realized vol is higher than 92% of the past year's readings — extreme stress. A 20th-percentile reading means it's lower than 80% of readings — a calm environment. The percentile is what drives the regime classification, not the raw vol level.
What is VolDex® and how does it affect sizing?
VolDex® is Nations' clean at-the-money implied-vol reading at the 30-day tenor. It tells you what the options market is pricing for near-term volatility — independently of realized vol. When VolDex® 30d diverges sharply from realized vol (options pricing much more than the asset has been moving), the regime panel weights the implied reading more heavily, which can push the regime classification toward Stressed even if the realized-vol percentile is moderate. The tool uses both because each tells you something the other can't.
What is RiskDex® and what does it add?
RiskDex® measures the risk premium embedded in options — roughly, how much implied vol exceeds expected realized vol, normalized. A high RiskDex® reading (above 3.0) signals that options traders are paying a significant premium for protection, which often precedes sustained stress. In the regime panel it acts as a confirming signal: high realized-vol percentile plus high RiskDex® is a much stronger Stressed classification than high percentile alone.
How often should I rebalance?
At minimum: whenever the regime classification changes. In practice: weekly for active positions, plus a real-time check whenever a significant catalyst hits (earnings, FOMC, CPI). Realized vol can move fast; a position sized in a calm regime can be 2× too large within weeks if vol doubles. The tool is designed to be re-run quickly — enter the ticker, target, and capital; read the output.
Does vol-targeting protect against gap risk?
No. Vol-targeting sizes a position based on the vol the underlying has been realizing; it cannot protect against an overnight gap that exceeds the daily vol the formula assumed. A stock that gaps down 30% on a surprise news event will inflict losses well beyond what a 1%-vol-target size implies, because that gap happened outside of normal trading hours before a rebalance was possible. Vol-targeting reduces systematic sizing errors; it doesn't replace risk management tools like stop-losses or position limits.
Does it account for correlation between positions?
The Position Sizer sizes each position independently. It does not aggregate the correlation structure across the book. Ten positions each sized to 1% vol contribution are not a 10%-vol portfolio if those positions are highly correlated — they can behave as one position in a stress event. The tool handles single-position sizing; you handle the portfolio-level correlation as a separate step.
Can I use this for options positions?
Yes, but use the delta-equivalent notional as the sizing input, not the premium. A 50-delta call on a $100 stock is $5,000 of delta-equivalent exposure per contract. Size that the same way you'd size the stock. Sizing on premium alone will systematically oversize every options position because the premium is far smaller than the delta-equivalent — you'd end up with far more delta exposure than the vol target implies.
What is the difference between VolDex® and realized vol in this context?
Realized vol is what the underlying actually did — used in the sizing formula as the denominator. VolDex® is what options are pricing for the future — used in the regime panel alongside RiskDex® to calibrate the multiplier. The sizing formula runs on realized because that's the best estimate of future realized; the regime panel incorporates implied because the options market often prices stress before it shows up in realized. You need both.
What if a name has less than a year of history?
The trailing-year percentile requires 252 trading days of realized-vol history. For recently listed names with fewer than 252 days, the tool flags that the percentile is based on a shorter window, which makes the regime classification less reliable. In that case, the regime panel defaults to a more conservative multiplier — treating the limited-history name as Elevated rather than Calm — and the flag is visible in the output. Trade smaller or avoid until history builds.
Is a lower vol target always safer?
A lower per-position target means smaller positions and lower gross exposure — which is less risky in the narrow sense of individual-position loss. But a portfolio of 0.25%-target positions may need 40 positions to reach meaningful gross exposure, making it harder to manage and more likely to produce benchmark-like returns without the concentration needed to add alpha. The target is a design parameter; "safer" depends on your goals, your time horizon, and your ability to monitor a large number of positions.
Glossary
The annualized vol contribution you want each position to represent, as a percentage of capital. The core input to the sizing formula.
The annualized standard deviation of the underlying's past daily returns over a trailing window (default: 30 trading days). The denominator in the inverse-vol formula.
Sizing inversely proportional to realized vol: double the vol → half the notional → same expected risk contribution.
Where today's 30-day realized vol sits in the trailing year's distribution of 30-day readings. Drives the regime classification.
Layer 1 of the three-layer framework. Classifies the current environment as Calm, Elevated, or Stressed, and sets the size multiplier accordingly.
The regime-driven scalar applied to the inverse-vol result: ×1.0 (Calm), ≈×0.70 (Elevated), ≈×0.45 (Stressed).
Layer 2 of the framework: timing the entry. Separates the sizing decision (how much) from the timing decision (when).
Nations' clean at-the-money implied-vol reading at the 30-day tenor. Used in the regime panel alongside RiskDex® to calibrate the multiplier.
Nations' measure of the risk premium embedded in options — how much implied vol exceeds expected realized. A confirming input to the regime classification.
For options: the underlying exposure represented by the position's delta. The correct notional to feed into the vol-targeting formula.
Re-running the sizing calculation after a regime change, a material vol move, a catalyst event, or on a weekly schedule, and adjusting the position to the new output.
An overnight or weekend price move that exceeds normal realized vol and cannot be hedged before it happens. Vol-targeting reduces sizing errors; it does not cover gap risk.
Free reference. The live tool and data come with a plan — ETFs via ETF Analytics, single names via ETF + Equities, full Nations-index regime feed via Everything.
See plans →Educational content from Nations Indexes. VolDex® and RiskDex® are registered marks of Nations Indexes. Diagrams are schematic. Click any diagram to enlarge it. Nothing here is investment advice.