Our Indexes

The world's leading
independent volatility indexes.

Five precision-engineered indexes that strip away the distortions of legacy vol measures — giving you a clean, real-time read on what options are actually pricing.

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VolDex®
A better way to measure option volatility
VolDex® focuses on the options that matter most—at-the-money (ATM) options with near-term expirations—giving a cleaner, more accurate view of implied volatility.

By isolating these highly liquid and actively traded contracts, VolDex avoids the distortion caused by less relevant, far out-of-the-money options. The result is a more precise snapshot of market expectations for price movement and investor sentiment—without the noise.
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CallDex®
A clearer signal of bullish sentiment & expected volatility
CallDex® tracks the cost of out-of-the-money call options to gauge market sentiment for the next 30 days. It uses call options that are one standard deviation out-of-the-money to measure what investors are expecting in terms of both volatility and potential price direction.

Higher CallDex values generally suggest traders are anticipating bigger moves or a possible market rally. Lower values indicate a calmer outlook or reduced interest in upside exposure.
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PutDex®
Focused on downside risk pricing
PutDex® delivers a clear, strike-specific measure of implied volatility by concentrating on one key data point: the normalized cost of a 30-day, one standard deviation out-of-the-money (OTM) SPY put option.

This approach isolates the segment of the options market most directly associated with downside protection, removing the noise from less relevant strike prices. The result precisely indicates market sentiment around tail risk, hedging activity, and bearish positioning.

By zeroing in on these put options—widely used by institutional investors to protect against market declines—PutDex offers valuable insight into how much investors are willing to pay to insure against losses over the next month.
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RiskDex®
A Clear Signal of Expected Market Direction
RiskDex® measures investor sentiment by comparing the normalized cost of 30-day, one standard deviation out-of-the-money (OTM) SPY put and call options. This simple ratio reveals whether the market is more focused on downside protection or upside opportunity — offering a direct view of expected equity direction over the next month.

Unlike traditional volatility indexes, which reflect overall price movement, RiskDex highlights directional bias. A rising RiskDex indicates OTM put prices are increasing at a faster rate than OTM call prices and suggests growing concerns about potential declines; a lower reading signals confidence or complacency.

This makes RiskDex a valuable tool for traders and risk managers seeking clarity on where the market thinks it's headed—not just how volatile it might be.
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TailDex®
A smarter signal for downside risk & tail hedging demand
TailDex® measures the price of deep out-of-the-money put options to assess bearish sentiment and demand for tail risk protection over the next 30 days. By focusing on puts that are three standard deviations OTM, it reflects how concerned traders are about a major downside move, often called a 'tail event'.

Higher TailDex values suggest rising demand for crash protection or increased fear of large selloffs. Lower values imply a calmer market tone and less urgency to hedge against tail risk.
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Position Sizer FAQ & Glossary

Reference · Foundations

Free to read

Position Sizer FAQ & Glossary

Quick answers on vol targeting, inverse-vol sizing, regime filters, and rebalancing — each with a picture — plus the vocabulary, defined.

Frequently asked

What is vol-targeted position sizing?

A method that sizes each trade so its expected volatility contribution to the portfolio matches a chosen target — regardless of how volatile the underlying is. High-vol names get smaller notionals; low-vol names get larger ones. The result: every position contributes roughly the same expected risk, and the portfolio's total volatility is a deliberate choice rather than an accident of position size.

Equal risk, unequal size12% vol24% vol48% vollarge $medium $small $each contributes the same expected vol
What is the inverse-vol formula?

The core math: notional = capital × (target_vol / realized_vol). If capital is $100,000 and your target is 1%, a name with 20% realized vol gets $5,000 (5% of capital); a name with 40% realized vol gets $2,500 (2.5%). Double the vol → half the notional → same expected risk. The regime multiplier then scales this result based on current conditions.

Inverse-vol formulanotional = capital × T / σσ = 20%→ $5,000σ = 40%→ $2,500same 1% target, different vol → different notional
What is the regime filter and why does it matter?

The regime filter is Layer 1 of the three-layer framework. Before the inverse-vol formula runs, it asks: are conditions calm, elevated, or stressed? It pulls the underlying's realized-vol percentile over its trailing year and combines it with the live VolDex® 30-day and RiskDex® readings. A stressed regime — high realized-vol percentile, elevated risk premium — applies a multiplier below 1.0 that cuts the inverse-vol result, reducing gross exposure before the worst conditions can do maximum damage.

Regime → multiplierCalm ×1.0Elevated ×0.7Stressed ×0.45adj. size = inv-vol × multiplier
What is the realized-vol percentile?

Where today's 30-day realized vol sits in the distribution of all 30-day realized-vol readings over the past 252 trading days (the trailing year). A 92nd-percentile reading means realized vol is higher than 92% of the past year's readings — extreme stress. A 20th-percentile reading means it's lower than 80% of readings — a calm environment. The percentile is what drives the regime classification, not the raw vol level.

Percentile, not level92nd pctile20th pctilevol dist
What is VolDex® and how does it affect sizing?

VolDex® is Nations' clean at-the-money implied-vol reading at the 30-day tenor. It tells you what the options market is pricing for near-term volatility — independently of realized vol. When VolDex® 30d diverges sharply from realized vol (options pricing much more than the asset has been moving), the regime panel weights the implied reading more heavily, which can push the regime classification toward Stressed even if the realized-vol percentile is moderate. The tool uses both because each tells you something the other can't.

Implied vs realizedrealized volVolDex® (implied)divergence → regime weights implied higher
What is RiskDex® and what does it add?

RiskDex® measures the risk premium embedded in options — roughly, how much implied vol exceeds expected realized vol, normalized. A high RiskDex® reading (above 3.0) signals that options traders are paying a significant premium for protection, which often precedes sustained stress. In the regime panel it acts as a confirming signal: high realized-vol percentile plus high RiskDex® is a much stronger Stressed classification than high percentile alone.

RiskDex® as confirming signalhigh pctile alone→ Elevatedhigh pctile +RiskDex® >3→ Stressed
How often should I rebalance?

At minimum: whenever the regime classification changes. In practice: weekly for active positions, plus a real-time check whenever a significant catalyst hits (earnings, FOMC, CPI). Realized vol can move fast; a position sized in a calm regime can be 2× too large within weeks if vol doubles. The tool is designed to be re-run quickly — enter the ticker, target, and capital; read the output.

Rebalance triggersregime shiftvol moves >20%catalyst eventcapital changeweekly routine
Does vol-targeting protect against gap risk?

No. Vol-targeting sizes a position based on the vol the underlying has been realizing; it cannot protect against an overnight gap that exceeds the daily vol the formula assumed. A stock that gaps down 30% on a surprise news event will inflict losses well beyond what a 1%-vol-target size implies, because that gap happened outside of normal trading hours before a rebalance was possible. Vol-targeting reduces systematic sizing errors; it doesn't replace risk management tools like stop-losses or position limits.

Gap risk is not coveredgap — before rebalance
Does it account for correlation between positions?

The Position Sizer sizes each position independently. It does not aggregate the correlation structure across the book. Ten positions each sized to 1% vol contribution are not a 10%-vol portfolio if those positions are highly correlated — they can behave as one position in a stress event. The tool handles single-position sizing; you handle the portfolio-level correlation as a separate step.

Correlation: your jobPosition Sizer: each trade sizedindependently to vol targetYou: manage book-level correlation
Can I use this for options positions?

Yes, but use the delta-equivalent notional as the sizing input, not the premium. A 50-delta call on a $100 stock is $5,000 of delta-equivalent exposure per contract. Size that the same way you'd size the stock. Sizing on premium alone will systematically oversize every options position because the premium is far smaller than the delta-equivalent — you'd end up with far more delta exposure than the vol target implies.

Options: use delta equivwrong:size on premium→ oversizedright:size on Δ-equiv→ correct risk
What is the difference between VolDex® and realized vol in this context?

Realized vol is what the underlying actually did — used in the sizing formula as the denominator. VolDex® is what options are pricing for the future — used in the regime panel alongside RiskDex® to calibrate the multiplier. The sizing formula runs on realized because that's the best estimate of future realized; the regime panel incorporates implied because the options market often prices stress before it shows up in realized. You need both.

Realized vs implied roleRealized volsizing denominatorVolDex® + RiskDex®regime multiplier
What if a name has less than a year of history?

The trailing-year percentile requires 252 trading days of realized-vol history. For recently listed names with fewer than 252 days, the tool flags that the percentile is based on a shorter window, which makes the regime classification less reliable. In that case, the regime panel defaults to a more conservative multiplier — treating the limited-history name as Elevated rather than Calm — and the flag is visible in the output. Trade smaller or avoid until history builds.

Limited history flag⚠ < 252 days historypercentile less reliable → Elevated defaultTrade smaller or wait for history to build
Is a lower vol target always safer?

A lower per-position target means smaller positions and lower gross exposure — which is less risky in the narrow sense of individual-position loss. But a portfolio of 0.25%-target positions may need 40 positions to reach meaningful gross exposure, making it harder to manage and more likely to produce benchmark-like returns without the concentration needed to add alpha. The target is a design parameter; "safer" depends on your goals, your time horizon, and your ability to monitor a large number of positions.

Target is a design choicepositions neededper-position sizelower target → more positions needed

Glossary

Volatility target

The annualized vol contribution you want each position to represent, as a percentage of capital. The core input to the sizing formula.

Realized volatility

The annualized standard deviation of the underlying's past daily returns over a trailing window (default: 30 trading days). The denominator in the inverse-vol formula.

Inverse-vol scaling

Sizing inversely proportional to realized vol: double the vol → half the notional → same expected risk contribution.

Realized-vol percentile

Where today's 30-day realized vol sits in the trailing year's distribution of 30-day readings. Drives the regime classification.

Regime filter

Layer 1 of the three-layer framework. Classifies the current environment as Calm, Elevated, or Stressed, and sets the size multiplier accordingly.

Size multiplier

The regime-driven scalar applied to the inverse-vol result: ×1.0 (Calm), ≈×0.70 (Elevated), ≈×0.45 (Stressed).

Trigger

Layer 2 of the framework: timing the entry. Separates the sizing decision (how much) from the timing decision (when).

VolDex®

Nations' clean at-the-money implied-vol reading at the 30-day tenor. Used in the regime panel alongside RiskDex® to calibrate the multiplier.

RiskDex®

Nations' measure of the risk premium embedded in options — how much implied vol exceeds expected realized. A confirming input to the regime classification.

Delta-equivalent notional

For options: the underlying exposure represented by the position's delta. The correct notional to feed into the vol-targeting formula.

Rebalancing

Re-running the sizing calculation after a regime change, a material vol move, a catalyst event, or on a weekly schedule, and adjusting the position to the new output.

Gap risk

An overnight or weekend price move that exceeds normal realized vol and cannot be hedged before it happens. Vol-targeting reduces sizing errors; it does not cover gap risk.

Do it live

Free reference. The live tool and data come with a plan — ETFs via ETF Analytics, single names via ETF + Equities, full Nations-index regime feed via Everything.

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Educational content from Nations Indexes. VolDex® and RiskDex® are registered marks of Nations Indexes. Diagrams are schematic. Click any diagram to enlarge it. Nothing here is investment advice.

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