Strategy Backtester · Foundations
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Reading an Equity Curve & Drawdown
An equity curve is the whole story of a strategy told as one line. Learn to read its slope, its smoothness, and its scars.
Slope is the edge
The overall upward slope is the strategy’s return. But slope alone is misleading: a steep line built on a handful of lucky trades is fragile. Look for slope that comes from many trades, not a few outliers.
Smoothness is the risk
A smooth, steady climb is easier to trade than a jagged one with the same endpoint, because you are less likely to abandon it at the wrong moment. Smoothness is a rough proxy for risk-adjusted return.
Drawdown depth and duration
Every curve has scars — peak-to-trough declines. Note both how deep the worst one is and how long it lasted: a 20% drawdown that takes a year to recover tests conviction far more than a sharp, brief dip.
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Educational content from Nations Indexes. Backtests are descriptive of historical data and are not investment advice or a promise of future results.